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The decline and fall of stars in the Universe


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Today, our Universe is illuminated, lit up primarily by stars.

A dense field of stars and distant galaxies scattered across the dark backdrop of space, with some objects appearing as bright points and others as faint, diffuse shapes.

This low-resolution image shows the full field of the COSMOS-Web survey conducted with JWST. Spanning 0.54 square degrees in the sky, or nearly three full Moons’ worth of area, this represents the largest, deepest wide-field view of the Universe ever acquired.

Credit: ESA/Webb, NASA & CSA, G. Gozaliasl, A. Koekemoer, M. Franco, and the COSMOS-Web team

But it wasn’t born with any stars; they needed the right conditions to form.

primordial black holes

The overdense regions that the Universe was born with grow and grow over time, but are limited in their growth by the initial small magnitudes of the overdensities, the cosmic scale on which the overdensities are found (and the time it takes the gravitational force to traverse them), and also by the presence of radiation that’s still energetic, which prevents structure from growing any faster. It takes tens-to-hundreds of millions of years to form the first stars; small-scale clumps of matter exist long before that, however. Until stars form, the atoms in these clumps remain neutral, requiring ionizing, ultraviolet photons to render them transparent to visible light.

Credit: Aaron Smith/TACC/UT-Austin

Clumps of matter grow via gravity, drawing more and more mass into them.

An artist's impression of a cluster of stars.

An illustration of the first stars turning on in the Universe. Without metals to cool down the clumps of gas that lead to the formation of the first stars, only the largest clumps within a large-mass cloud will wind up becoming stars: fewer in number but greater in mass than today’s stars. Although there’s plenty of light-blocking matter surrounding them, some longer-wavelength light (when first emitted) can still escape into the Universe beyond.

Credit: NASA / WMAP Science Team

Eventually, they become so massive that they collapse, triggering new stellar birth.

        Description: A series of images showcasing star birth and various types of stars.

The dense cores of protostar cluster G333.23–0.06, as identified by ALMA, show strong evidence for large levels of multiplicity within these cores. Binary cores are common, and groups of multiple binaries, forming quaternary systems, are also quite common. Triplet and quintuplet systems are also found inside, while, for these high-mass clumps, singlet stars turn out to be quite rare. It is expected that the stars forming in nebulae all throughout the Universe, including in the Eagle Nebula, have similar clumpy, fragmented properties.

Credit: S. Li et al., Nature Astronomy, 2024

At early times, star-formation was rare, occurring only in massive, fast-growing regions.

regions of various density renaissance dark matter simulations

Regions born with a typical, or “normal” overdensity, will grow to have rich structures in them, while underdense “void” regions will have less structure. However, early, small-scale structure is dominated by the most highly peaked regions in density (labeled “rarepeak” here), which grow the largest the fastest, and are only visible in detail to the highest resolution simulations.

Credit: J. McCaffrey et al., Open Journal of Astrophysics (submitted), 2023

Slightly later, growth by mergers and accretion causes star-formation rates to steadily rise.

dwarf starburst galaxy henize 2-10

When major mergers of similarly-sized galaxies occur in the Universe, they form new stars out of the hydrogen and helium gas present within them. This can result in severely increased rates of star-formation, similar to what we observe inside the nearby galaxy Henize 2-10, located 30 million light years away. This galaxy will likely evolve, post-merger, into another disk galaxy if copious amounts of gas remains within it, or into an elliptical if all or nearly all of the gas is expelled by the current starburst. Starburst events like this were much more common earlier in cosmic history than they are today.

Credit: NASA, ESA, Zachary Schutte (XGI), Amy Reines (XGI); Processing: Alyssa Pagan (STScI)

After ~3 billion years, stars form at the fastest rate of all-time: what astronomers call “cosmic noon.”

fermi star-formation rate gamma-ray history

The Fermi-LAT collaboration’s reconstructed star-formation history of the Universe, compared with other data points from alternative methods elsewhere in the literature. We are arriving at a consistent set of results across many different methods of measurement, with the greatest uncertainties persisting at the highest redshifts and earliest times. These uncertainties represent less than a 1% uncertainty in the total number of stars formed throughout cosmic history.

Credit: Fermi-LAT collaboration & M. Ajello et al., Science, 2018

But afterwards, the star-formation rate begins to decline.

how many stars

The star-formation rate in the Universe is a function of redshift, which is itself a function of cosmic time. The overall rate, (left) is derived from both ultraviolet and infrared observations, and is remarkably consistent across time and space. Note that star formation, today, is only a few percent of what it was at its peak (between 3-5%), and that the majority of stars were formed in the first ~5 billion years of our cosmic history. Only about ~15% of all stars, at maximum, have formed over the past 4.6 billion years. Direct measures of star-formation are important, but the method of Fermi-LAT for measuring the total number of photons produced by stars is superior.

Credit: P. Madau & M. Dickinson, 2014, ARAA

The expanding Universe drives galactic groups and clusters apart.

A vibrant, high-resolution image of a spiral galaxy with rich clusters of stars and interstellar dust, where most stars formed.

For the first ~3 billion years of cosmic history, the star-formation rate rose and rose until reaching a peak, but has fallen off significantly in the ~10-11 billion years since. Although an enormous number of photons have been cumulatively produced by stars, an even greater number were produced in the Big Bang.

Credit: NASA, ESA/Hubble Collaboration / Adobe Stock / NotjungCG / Big Think / Jacob Hege

Cosmic mergers become rarer, occurring only within bound systems.

m81 group

This multiwavelength view of the two largest, brightest galaxies in the M81 group shows stars, plasmas, and neutral hydrogen gas. The gas bridge connecting these two galaxies infalls onto both members, triggering the formation of new stars. If each star were shrunk down to be a grain of sand, this group would be 36 million km away, but the two galaxies would be separated only by a little over 400,000 km: the Earth-Moon distance. At late times, the only galaxy mergers that occur happen within bound clusters and groups of galaxies, due to dark energy taking over the expanding Universe.

Credit: R. Gendler, R. Croman, R. Colombari; Acknowledgement: R. Jay GaBany; VLA Data: E. de Block (ASTRON)

Mass accretion becomes less significant, as the intergalactic medium dilutes.

void cluster structure universe

In between the great clusters and filaments of the Universe are great cosmic voids, some of which can span hundreds of millions of light-years in diameter. The long-held idea that the Universe is held together by structures spanning many hundreds of millions of light-years, these ultra-large superclusters, has now been settled, and these enormous web-like features are destined to be torn apart by the Universe’s expansion, while the cosmic voids continue to grow.

Credit: Andrew Z. Colvin and Zeryphex/Astronom5109; Wikimedia Commons

Even within galaxies, ongoing star-formation depletes the gas necessary to create new stars.

A detailed image of a star-filled galaxy, showcasing vibrant nebulas and cosmic dust clouds in various shades of red, pink, and brown.

This region of space shows a portion of the plane of the Milky Way, with three extended star-forming regions all side-by-side next to one another. The Omega Nebula (left), the Eagle Nebula (center), and Sharpless 2-54 (right), compose just a small fraction of a vast complex of gas and dust found all through the galactic plane that continuously lead to the formation of newborn stars.

Credit: European Southern Observatory

The Euclid mission confirmed star-formation’s decline across the past several billion years.

The early results of the GLASS Early Release Science program reveal over 200 sources that span a variety of ranges in redshift and mass. This helps teach us what shapes galaxies take on over a range of masses and stages in cosmic time/evolution, revealing a number of very massive, very early, yet very evolved-looking galaxies. Data from Hubble, JWST, Fermi, Euclid, and more all show a star-formation history that peaked around 10-11 billion years ago, and has declined ever since.

Credit: C. Jacobs, K. Glazebrook et al., arXiv:2208.06516, 2022

Now, 13.8 billion years after the Big Bang, new stars are uncommon.

NGC 1277 red and dead

This nearby galaxy, NGC 1277, although it may appear similar to other typical galaxies found in the Universe, is remarkable for being composed primarily of older stars. Both its intrinsic stellar population and its globular clusters are all very red in color, indicating that it hasn’t formed new stars in ~10 billion years. When all of the gas within a galaxy is expelled and no new gas enters, that galaxy becomes permanently “red and dead,” as no new populations of stars can form within it.

Credit: NASA, ESA, and M. Beasley (Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias)

Today’s star-formation rate, merely 3% of what it was at cosmic noon, continues to drop.

GOODS-South CANDELS HST Hubble

This deep-field region of the GOODS-South field contains 18 galaxies forming stars so quickly that the number of stars inside will double in just 10 million years: just 0.1% the lifetime of the Universe. The deepest views of the Universe, as revealed by space telescopes, take us back into the early history of the Universe, where star-formation rates were much greater than today, but where fewer than 1% of the Universe’s cumulative stars had already formed. Many of the most distant galaxies are found in close proximity to other foreground galaxies, whose mass distorts and magnifies the light from background objects.

Credit: NASA, ESA, A. van der Wel (Max Planck Institute for Astronomy), H. Ferguson and A. Koekemoer (Space Telescope Science Institute), and the CANDELS team

Someday, the last gas reservoirs will be exhausted.

Abell S740 galaxy ESO 325-G004

Galaxy clusters, like Abell S740, are the largest bound structures in the Universe. When spirals merge, for example, a large number of new stars form, but either post-merger or by speeding through the intra-cluster medium, gas can be stripped away, leading to the end of star formation in that galaxy and, eventually, a red-and-dead final structure. As time goes on, star formation rates slow and more and more galaxies become gas depleted and even gas free, leading to “red-and-dead” giant ellipticals, like the one centrally shown here.

Credit: NASA, ESA, Hubble Heritage Team (STScI / AURA); J. Blakeslee

Without fuel, cosmic star-formation will cease entirely, returning our Universe to darkness.

binary brown dwarf

Just as stars often exist in binary, trinary, and more populous multi-star systems, so too do brown dwarfs: failed stars. It’s possible that there are binary brown dwarf systems with sufficient separations to enable the inspiral and merger of these components a very long time from now, where they will ignite hydrogen fusion in the post-merger red dwarf that forms: even after the host galaxy is fully gas depleted and the other stars in the galaxy have burned out. If any orbiting worlds exist at the right distance around the newly formed red dwarf, life may eventually arise even quintillions of years into the future, or potentially even more.

Credit: NASA, ESA, and A. Feild (STScI)

Mostly Mute Monday tells an astronomical story in images, visuals and no more than 200 words.

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